Harsh-Pyridine
0xfcdc8dba317545de64ffe202a13b2fb96608fcc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
166
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$-3.7K
Win rate
0%
112 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 20?
2076 shares @ 40.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-837.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 22?
1774 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-129.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11?
600 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?
600 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-102.00
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
366 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
125 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-54.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
90 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
90 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
30 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5.06Aug 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$4.06Aug 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$3.38Aug 19, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.31Aug 19, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$2.69Aug 19, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.07Aug 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3.48Aug 19, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$2.99Aug 19, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$5.07Aug 19, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$3.09Aug 19, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$5.07Aug 19, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$3.72Aug 19, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$3.87Aug 19, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.06Aug 19, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$3.63Aug 19, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$4.30Aug 19, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.31Aug 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.64Aug 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.30Aug 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.49Aug 19, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 112 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
112 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 112 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.