Careless-Export
0xfce9dac4f1f1563669d371fdad8a6cd26dd82563
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.21
Total PnL
$-9.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2025$1.21
$0.02
- YES
Dogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?
44 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?
5 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- NO
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 7?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,000 on April 4?$1.71Apr 5, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4?$1.87Apr 5, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,000 on April 4?$1.42Apr 1, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 29?$1.19Mar 29, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $80000 on April 4?$1.46Mar 29, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$983.04Mar 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$983.33Mar 23, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,200 on March 14?$1.56Mar 15, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $145 on March 14?$1.60Mar 15, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$2.50Mar 15, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?$4.70Mar 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRipple above $2.45 on March 14?$1.03Mar 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.20 on March 14?$1.18Mar 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?$1.94Mar 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on March 14?$1.54Mar 12, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,200 on March 14?$1.51Mar 12, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$2.30Mar 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?$2.35Mar 12, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 28 - March 7?$1.40Mar 8, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMRipple above $2.15 on March 7?$1.93Mar 8, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $87.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.