Immediate-Keystone
0xfceb0e302bb936f5180b1526752e819f9669dfbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$10.79
Total PnL
$-16.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
72 shares @ 11.1¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.65
$-2.34
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Maduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2332 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2324 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2320 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.99Mar 19, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$8.00Mar 19, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$7.99Feb 3, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$1.00Feb 3, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.02Feb 3, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.03Feb 3, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$1.03Feb 3, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMEnhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?$480.00Feb 3, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro exiled to Qatar by March 31?$1.00Jan 12, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.00Jan 12, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?$364.80Jan 12, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$1.00Jan 12, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$1.00Jan 8, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.3KDec 30, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.3KDec 30, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$4.6KDec 30, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$5.0KDec 30, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $483.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.