Carefree-Mastoid
0xfcec3c5e24729688a82f63723b60a7f1596be023
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$331.11
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$19.28
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
193 shares @ 25.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$114.64
$64.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$75.76
$25.76
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.74
$7.74
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
132 shares @ 38.0¢·now 21.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.89
$-22.11
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
833 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.42
$10.42
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 58.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.23
$-21.77
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
117 shares @ 17.1¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.71
$-3.29
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
250 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.38
$-11.62
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$-4.44
- YES
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.