Torn-Dependency
0xfcefc196f9c260705ae2434333061cc2ca43ed6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.8K
Realised
$-90.34
Win rate
32%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2646 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-818.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
2502 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-786.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2146 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-833.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
2030 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-291.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2029 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-522.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1876 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-632.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1829 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-683.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1807 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-521.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
1599 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-569.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
1598 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-547.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$6.09Jul 21, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.66Jul 21, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.48Jul 21, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.76Jul 21, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$66.40Jul 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$32.88Jul 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$96.27Jul 21, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$5.54Jul 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$14.64Jul 21, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$21.69Jul 21, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.96Jul 21, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$16.04Jul 21, 02:27 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.89Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$19.04Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.16Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.88Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$9.22Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.23Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$20.56Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.30Jul 20, 20:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
32% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
69 closed markets, 32% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 09:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.