Noxious-Threshold
0xfcf01ff86a6b9461203463543992239af7720fc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$63.74
Total PnL
$16.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
26 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.08
$0.08
- KINGS
Spread: Magic (-15.5)
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$20.00
$9.60
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$11.76
$9.76
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 76.5¢·now 74.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Apr 4, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$26.00Mar 31, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-15.5)$5.20Mar 26, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-15.5)$5.20Mar 26, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.00Jan 23, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.00Jan 23, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$2.50Jan 23, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.