0xfcf16de3ada28ac59f6223f1fed1e51485c92267
0xfcf16de3ada28ac59f6223f1fed1e51485c92267
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.70
Total PnL
$-114.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
5800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
2040 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
1333 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$4.00Feb 28, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$5.00Feb 24, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get 20–22 million views on day 1?$3.00Feb 22, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$5.00Feb 22, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$2.00Feb 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?$1.00Feb 22, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by June 30, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in U.K. by March 31?$1.00Feb 22, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?$5.00Feb 22, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$1.00Feb 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$1.00Feb 22, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIlhan Omar town hall attack staged?$1.00Feb 22, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no coalition by October 31?$5.00Feb 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$29.00Feb 22, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8?$5.00Feb 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$10.00Feb 8, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.