Steel-Encirclement
0xfcf21feae695d2319b491dc5d5efb4efc353c856
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$160.82
Total PnL
$-236.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
68 shares @ 43.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$68.34
$38.34
- YES
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$50.81
$20.81
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$41.67
$16.67
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
1187 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-10-13?
139 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
133 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Latvia vs. England end in a draw?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-10-19?$10.00Oct 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$7.00Oct 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$5.00Oct 19, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBayern München vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 3.5$50.00Oct 18, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? $30.00Oct 17, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 17, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$25.00Oct 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$74.60Oct 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October?$30.00Oct 17, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$32.50Oct 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Nordic Open: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruud$20.00Oct 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$25.00Oct 15, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)$10.00Oct 15, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?$31.25Oct 15, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?$60.22Oct 15, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia vs. England end in a draw?$5.00Oct 14, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?$20.00Oct 14, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by October 31?$50.00Oct 14, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?$66.31Oct 14, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde win on 2025-10-12?$31.11Oct 13, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $35.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 19, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.