0xfcf2b76079ad4e08ce3d5c0b1656c8e6d1029ada
0xfcf2b76079ad4e08ce3d5c0b1656c8e6d1029ada
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$428.13
Total PnL
$-192.33
Realised
$34.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
208 shares @ 88.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$185.60
$0.80
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
110 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.31
$12.14
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
40 shares @ 85.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.75
$5.25
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
78 shares @ 36.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.43
$-13.65
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
435 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.19
$-0.22
- YES
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.25
$-3.25
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$5.07Jun 14, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5.08Jun 14, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$1.03Jun 14, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$40.44Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$25.76Jun 14, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$25.76Jun 14, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$24.85Jun 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$24.53Jun 13, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$65.36Jun 13, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$5.80Jun 13, 17:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$71.48Jun 11, 04:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$114.17Jun 8, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$33.00Jun 8, 01:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $30.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.