Tender-Exploration
0xfd00de3ed86dc74f20ea0f3c0ad76c0df049cec0
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?
516 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
87 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.09Dec 15, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$5.14Dec 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Dec 10, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emilio Gonzalez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$1.00Dec 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?$1.00Dec 10, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Dec 10, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $3.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 01:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.