Private-Plaster
0xfd0551803790c907be7502911b9f1a3890d46190
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-291.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to no prison time?
280 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 2?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 26?
276 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on November 22?
273 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on November 26?
270 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on December 1?
268 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?
266 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.66
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 7?
256 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 3?
256 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 23?
256 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 20?$1.86Jul 20, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$55.15Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$53.61Jul 15, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 1?$15.47Jun 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 1?$3.48May 31, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $800 in May?$3.55May 31, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 31?$1.82May 30, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$50.57May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$0.07May 22, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$49.49May 22, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 16?$1.55May 16, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$46.79May 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$0.12May 15, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 15?$45.27May 15, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$45.00May 7, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$43.83Apr 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on April 18?$48.85Apr 28, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 18?$0.05Apr 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on April 18?$46.36Apr 18, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$43.54Apr 18, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $28.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.