Wild-Bureau
0xfd104a09d64a94b80b2e00b9304d45175b6aa689
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-33.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
597000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-597.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
11548 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-113.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
10129 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
6676 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
6660 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-149.99
- YES
Will voter turnout be <65% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
5642 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
3838 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
1120 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $784.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.