0xfd17134b04f44fa2a739778bbd93c3dcd40c3116
0xfd17134b04f44fa2a739778bbd93c3dcd40c3116
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$157.09
Total PnL
$-193.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- MOUZ
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$6.06
$1.03
- NO
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$6.04
$1.01
- YES
Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$5.96
$0.96
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.37
$0.37
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.35
$0.32
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
6 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.35
$0.38
- YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 24?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$5.16
$0.13
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
6 shares @ 88.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 21?$5.26Jul 21, 16:47 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.32Jul 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-07-21?$5.01Jul 21, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: INTZ e-Sports vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season$5.00Jul 21, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$5.02Jul 21, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$3.65Jul 21, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Orlando Luz$5.26Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$5.85Jul 21, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?$5.07Jul 21, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 21?$5.65Jul 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?$5.04Jul 21, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?$6.14Jul 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?$5.05Jul 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?$5.08Jul 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 21?$5.02Jul 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$5.01Jul 21, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larne FC win on 2026-07-21?$5.01Jul 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$3.99Jul 21, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 21?$5.03Jul 21, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Orlando Luz$5.01Jul 21, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.