French-Birdcage
0xfd19576a0a5bbb323912262c99d93fb5306911fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
344 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
256 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
256 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.03
- YES
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
256 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Yōko Kamikawa be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$0.19Oct 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'CANCELLED!' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$0.30Oct 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.00Oct 12, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$0.63Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?$0.26Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$0.19Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.34Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.88Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.00Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$10.13Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.20Oct 12, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$2.23Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Göransson and August Holmgren Michelsen win the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament?$1.53Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$4.40Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$3.77Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$6.22Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?$7.78Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$14.51Oct 12, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$22.88Oct 12, 07:05 UTC
- CONVERSIONWhich song Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" will be lowest rank on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$15.00Oct 11, 17:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $35.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".