Linear-Phrasing
0xfd1a54a3479a3e7989e718e9fb84faf49c108360
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$76.58
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$8.10
- NO
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$0.12
- NO
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$0.17
- NO
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$0.16
- NO
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$0.09
- NO
Will Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$10.00
$0.11
- NO
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$6.58
$0.07
- YES
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
30 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
20 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9.91Mar 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virginia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9.89Mar 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$6.51Mar 18, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9.88Mar 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9.88Mar 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9.84Mar 18, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$9.83Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.10Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.88Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.76Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$1.90Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.10Mar 18, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Mar 18, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.00Mar 18, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMOver $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$0.00Mar 18, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$16.67Mar 18, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$40.61Mar 18, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$40.00Jan 27, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3.49Jan 24, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.80Jan 24, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $10.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.