Quarterly-Occurrence
0xfd1af137fa87a31a548098615a6a040fb3d492ab
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$100.84
Total PnL
$-167.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$19.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$19.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$19.89
$-0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
19 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$18.99
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$12.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 10?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$10.00
$0.01
- MISSOURI STATE
Missouri State vs. Arkansas State
301 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-159.48
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
10 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 10?$9.996h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 10?$11.996h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$19.986h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$20.006h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$19.981d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$19.982d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 7?$11.992d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 7?$12.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$38.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on May 7?$11.973d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on May 7?$11.993d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 6?$12.003d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$12.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 6?$11.994d ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$11.975d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$18.966d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$49.956d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$19.986d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$11.996d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 24?$5.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $19.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
