Esteemed-Felony
0xfd1d492ab7eb2973f813bcc5a416101256510416
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-367.77
Realised
$8.18
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 52 million views on day 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 10AM ET
631 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
85 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$1.13May 26, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$5.36May 26, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$3.09May 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.15May 26, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.39May 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.73May 26, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.17May 26, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$1.14May 26, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.56May 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.14May 21, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.98May 21, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.05May 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.13May 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.04May 21, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.14May 21, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.15May 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 18?$1.35May 17, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.15May 16, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$4.65May 16, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.16May 16, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".