Testy-Replication
0xfd21b8fc62e59eb84fb5ed40ed706d9a8d4e5444
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.17
Total PnL
$-6.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Christine Hamilton and Victor St. John marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 17?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Christine Hamilton and Victor St. John marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?$1.00Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 17?$1.00Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?$1.00Feb 17, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Honey' be the lowest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?$1.01Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Military Edition$1.14Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?$1.14Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.15Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.22Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ukraine" or "Russia" 7+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$1.41Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.61Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$1.96Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.33Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.00Feb 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stable launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?$1.00Oct 27, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?$1.00Oct 15, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in September?$1.32Oct 9, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30?$1.61Oct 9, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?$2.50Oct 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid all time high by December 31?$1.00Oct 9, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $78.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".