Cautious-Jam
0xfd2b595e9d7e48a9cc43bb78ef67594248989989
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$169.99
Total PnL
$-38.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- CD GUADALAJARA
Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)
120 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$119.94
$0.30
- NO
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
50 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$50.00
$0.20
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
106 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.05
$-3.25
- YES
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
282 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
271 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?
228 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
175 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 25?
161 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?
131 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-24.70
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
95 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.14Apr 25, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Club Puebla (-2.5)$119.64Apr 18, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$3.17Apr 11, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.30Apr 8, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.60Apr 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.12Apr 1, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 25?$1.04Mar 24, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$109.78Mar 24, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$109.89Mar 24, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 3?$110.00Mar 19, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.98Dec 31, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?$1.35Dec 20, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?$24.70Dec 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 10?$69.72Dec 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 10?$69.93Dec 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on December 3?$109.34Nov 30, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$49.80Nov 11, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill a club from South America win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?$100.03Nov 6, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?$110.00Nov 6, 15:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 1, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $139.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".