Fond-Corporation-Disco
0xfd37c3c95979a46195ec5152439f820ca2d19135
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$304.33
Total PnL
$114.66
Realised
$-7.98
Win rate
26%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 74.7¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$74.70
$72.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 63.1¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$63.15
$62.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 50.7¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$50.58
$47.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?
104 shares @ 12.3¢·now 28.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$29.25
$16.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 16?
103 shares @ 13.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$21.58
$7.58
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?
45 shares @ 11.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$15.39
$10.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 16?
86 shares @ 14.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$13.25
$0.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?
103 shares @ 6.3¢·now 8.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$8.25
$1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?
107 shares @ 6.5¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$8.04
$1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 16?
106 shares @ 3.8¢·now 6.7¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$7.11
$3.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?$6.19Aug 16, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 16?$7.33Aug 16, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?$2.26Aug 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?$1.20Aug 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 16?$0.60Aug 16, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 16?$5.22Aug 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 16?$12.80Aug 16, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$15.39Aug 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 16?$0.18Aug 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$4.60Aug 16, 03:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$23.00Aug 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$19.41Aug 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$12.13Aug 16, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 16?$0.14Aug 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 16?$0.62Aug 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 16?$27.48Aug 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 16?$17.85Aug 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 16?$20.57Aug 16, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 16?$0.07Aug 16, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 16?$0.05Aug 16, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
26% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 03:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.