Thankful-Lark
0xfd37e08d637ffa3e5d6940950ea9fa973dbe1eac
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.85
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 10.4¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.85
$-1.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
13679 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
7056 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2549 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
2519 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2342 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
2280 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2116 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
247 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-123.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.40Mar 24, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10.44Mar 24, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10.34Feb 4, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$1.06Feb 4, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.16Feb 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$1.00Jan 8, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.00Dec 17, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?$1.02Dec 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.08Dec 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.56Dec 17, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?$1.00Dec 10, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$1.50Dec 5, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Nov 27, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Nov 10, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Nov 10, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$0.00Nov 10, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Nov 10, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Nov 10, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $541.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".