Windy-Look
0xfd3d934d775c093226e040a48cd871b393d47fe7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?
233 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-0.70
- NO
Fact Check: Was it a real gun?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Was it a real gun?$1.00Jul 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo be Player of the Tournament for Euro 2024?$0.70Jul 14, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIndonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?$101.17Mar 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump in jail before election day?$101.80Mar 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$53.00Mar 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$50.00Mar 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?$102.00Mar 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden to drop out before April?$109.66Mar 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024?$102.74Mar 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May?$1.67Mar 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden cognitive test before April?$82.07Mar 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March?$101.07Mar 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden cognitive test before April?$83.00Mar 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden to drop out before April?$110.30Mar 15, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024?$104.00Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March?$102.00Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $75.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 16:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 06:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.