Familiar-Vibration
0xfd43e4101137793d4404fadeb089e64cd90a40fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-5.70
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
3239 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-676.81
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
1146 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
735 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
445 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?
301 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
183 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-106.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
40 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
15 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$2.25Feb 12, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$1.49Feb 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$18.90Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 11, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 11, 11:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 11, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$17.92Feb 10, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 11:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$7.49Feb 10, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$8.00Feb 10, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 23:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 17:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.