Ill-Informed-Occupation
0xfd4760db8bce4e8b70e7366c1e83842559cda9b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$49.20
Total PnL
$-263.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?
394 shares @ 50.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$49.20
$-150.80
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)
544 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodriguez" this week? (April 5)
217 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$203.93Jun 11, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Maduro" this week?$202.02Jun 5, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Maduro" this week?$200.08Jun 4, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Delcy" or "Rodriguez" this week? (April 5)$100.00Apr 2, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$45.56Mar 31, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?$34.77Mar 31, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?$20.00Mar 30, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$122.59Mar 30, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballistic Missile" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 23, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29)$78.06Mar 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$105.32Mar 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fun" this week? (March 29)$51.00Mar 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$61.58Mar 22, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$50.00Mar 16, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$50.00Mar 16, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$100.00Mar 14, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 13, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$96.00Mar 13, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$49.28Mar 11, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $73.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 00:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.