Ignorant-Rag
0xfd48ed9035ea879e32af8a99af9092dc474320c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-599.22
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Democratic sweep?
2008 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-416.70
- YES
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
435 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-68.25
- YES
Will Democrats win no elections in Nov?
409 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
334 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-71.56
- YES
Will Democrats win one election in Nov?
189 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
90 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.61
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
70 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
50 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-22.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.71Nov 15, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$0.90Nov 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.54Nov 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.52Nov 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump veto a bill in 2025?$2.25Nov 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.93Nov 15, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.07Nov 15, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$11.25Nov 15, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$2.05Nov 15, 02:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 15, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$11.50Nov 13, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$87.48Nov 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$79.53Nov 13, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$79.52Nov 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$80.71Nov 13, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?$0.72Nov 13, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLObama federally charged in 2025?$1.12Nov 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$4.47Nov 13, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLHouse passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?$73.97Nov 13, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $38.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 02:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.