Buttery-Panel
0xfd4c4ce5e55fb2e41868a240570f0e8f8b3c6617
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$14.72
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DELHI CAPITALS
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
1434 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.92
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 24?
943 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 10AM ET
913 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.91
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 6AM ET
657 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.53Jul 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.70Jul 13, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$7.08Jul 13, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$1.15Jul 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?$8.72Jul 13, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$3.49Jul 13, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.23Jul 13, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.77Jul 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1.13Jul 13, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.25Jul 12, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4.00Jul 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.16Jul 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.15Jul 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.26Jul 12, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.46Jul 12, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.08Jul 12, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.04Jul 12, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.79Jul 12, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.15Jul 12, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$0.00Jul 12, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.