Chilly-Chrysalis
0xfd4ded52c8de340945e1c3b10df74098081b2545
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$670.41
Total PnL
$-15.20
Realised
$-0.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
210 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$210.03
$3.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?
130 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$130.25
$1.29
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
120 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$119.94
$3.42
- NO
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
110 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$110.09
$0.42
- NO
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?
100 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$100.10
$1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
225 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- NO
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
166 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
151 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $90 in November?
120 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on August 4?
113 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$29.91Apr 26, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$29.94Apr 26, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$39.92Apr 26, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$39.96Apr 26, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?$99.10Apr 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$5.40Apr 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$116.52Apr 5, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$206.85Mar 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$109.67Mar 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chainlink dip to $2 in March?$169.66Mar 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $2 in March?$169.83Mar 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$219.12Mar 29, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$219.34Mar 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in March 2026?$128.96Mar 25, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$6.80Mar 23, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 3?$210.00Feb 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 3?$209.79Jan 1, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?$0.10Dec 16, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 December 1-7?$0.12Dec 16, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7?$188.67Dec 3, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $111.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 20, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.