Tight-Raise
0xfd53bdfb666a9eea66af5fa253068c2a2ddb4825
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$22.12
Total PnL
$-67.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$19.23
$4.23
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-2.14
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.03
$-4.97
- YES
Starmer out before July?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump visit LA by Sunday?
104 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?
68 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.00Mar 14, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.07Mar 14, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.76Mar 14, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$5.00Feb 20, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 20, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 20, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$6.25Feb 20, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in his first 100 days?$0.00Feb 20, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00Feb 20, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?$0.00Feb 20, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$6.00Feb 20, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$5.00Feb 20, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in his first 100 days?$10.10Feb 20, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$13.51Feb 20, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?$18.89Feb 20, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$10.00Jan 27, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in his first 100 days?$10.00Jan 27, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?$10.00Jan 27, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?$5.30Jan 27, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit LA by Sunday?$20.00Jan 9, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $10.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".