Green-Bonding
0xfd54f5621021a096d845268812cdece30d955ea0
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$16.67
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.51
$0.01
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.41
$0.01
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.33
$0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.32
$0.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.01
- NO
Will Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.10Dec 31, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.34Dec 31, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.27Dec 31, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.32Dec 31, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.50Dec 31, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.25Dec 31, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.23Dec 31, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.14Dec 31, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.32Dec 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.20Dec 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.32Dec 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.23Dec 31, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.40Dec 31, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on December 17?$284.00Dec 28, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on December 17?$142.00Dec 16, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.39Dec 16, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$1.50Dec 16, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.50Dec 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$1.47Oct 30, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.30Oct 30, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.