Disastrous-Tile
0xfd6247a6f3914ba01480477dab8545dfa7262b7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$41.21
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-150.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
42 shares @ 94.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.21
$1.21
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
922 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
756 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
621 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-329.26
- NO
India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?
440 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21?
271 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Mar 7?
96 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.30
- YES
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 28 - April 4?
92 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 25?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt before 2027?$40.00Feb 16, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.42Feb 7, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$59.52Jan 2, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$50.00Sep 27, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$2.03Sep 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$128.20Sep 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$146.00Sep 5, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$433.33Sep 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$988.83Sep 4, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$963.00Sep 4, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$819.92Sep 4, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$840.48Aug 16, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?$840.48Aug 16, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?$805.72Aug 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1000.00Aug 2, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.8KAug 2, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.5KJul 29, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.5KJul 29, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.91Jul 23, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $458.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".