Medium-Dependent
0xfd62934e67e2556db755f723ecaa42d02cbe3dba
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-21.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1499 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-749.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.02Jan 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?$1.00Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$1.02Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.02Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frank Crivello win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.01Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$2.02Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.04Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$3.03Jan 5, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 13, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Dec 12, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$80.00Dec 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$170.00Dec 12, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $138.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".