Productive-Curse
0xfd804fd46c5884e3b798fcafdcf1c6a4e955a8ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-176.55
Realised
$-1.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%?
46623 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-106.35
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
145 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Wisconsin by 4.0% or more?
46 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.17
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win North Carolina by 4.0% or more?
30 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$21.33Nov 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$1.8KNov 10, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$4.81Nov 10, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$10.00Nov 10, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$10.00Nov 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Georgia by 4.0% or more? $0.04Nov 8, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?$24.78Nov 8, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$65.61Nov 8, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$100.00Nov 8, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$200.00Nov 8, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?$115.00Nov 8, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$25.00Nov 8, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$10.00Nov 8, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$285.61Nov 8, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$0.98Nov 7, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$38.00Nov 7, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Arizona by 4.0% or more? $27.55Nov 7, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.00Nov 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans have 54 seats in Senate after election?$11.43Nov 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$29.49Nov 7, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $118.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".