Misguided-Stirfry
0xfd8a58f0ce9d3712f786b44793a75f8d5ca323de
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.56
Realised
$-10.71
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1398 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in December 2025?
843 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
639 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the GPT-5 launch be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
380 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
316 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
265 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- YES
Will Palantir reach $264 in November?
227 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
200 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?
196 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?
196 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$7.17Mar 5, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$11.69Mar 5, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$8.05Dec 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?$3.66Dec 4, 05:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?$2.73Dec 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?$3.01Dec 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCongress authorizes military force against Iran in 2025?$2.39Dec 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?$1.69Dec 4, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPepe ETF in 2025?$1.85Dec 4, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?$3.09Dec 4, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSkye Valadez confirmed perp?$1.46Dec 4, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLEU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025?$1.84Dec 4, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$2.64Dec 4, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?$1.78Dec 4, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$6.27Dec 4, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELL50-year GSE-eligible mortgages by December 31?$3.61Dec 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic acquired in 2025?$5.04Dec 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$1.42Dec 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS civil war in 2025?$1.48Dec 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1424.99 on December 31 2025?$1.24Dec 4, 05:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 11:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".