Lone-Hippodrome
0xfd8b173e72f6e37bba9055de52875c6746db0034
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-37.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?$1.00Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?$1.00Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $260 before 2026?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Jan 15, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $260 before 2026?$1.00Dec 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 11, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 02:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.