Subtle-Meteor
0xfd8c5f51c5863ef7b4bdea5e965616bf71e599f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$12.21
Total PnL
$-1.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 22?
12 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$12.21
$0.21
- YES
Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
58 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 22?$12.00Dec 21, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,300 November 3-9?$11.03Dec 21, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$11.27Dec 21, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?$14.16Dec 21, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$20.58Dec 21, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$25.33Dec 21, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?$14.00Nov 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.10Nov 8, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$11.13Nov 6, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,300 November 3-9?$11.00Nov 5, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$20.00Nov 1, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$25.00Oct 30, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Chuck Schumer in October?$1.00Oct 30, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $11.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".