Teeming-Precedence
0xfd8e46519d0a8f9c35e5010ef4e7f56f7583aea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
143
Open notional
$542.85
Total PnL
$-727.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 143- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?
23 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$19.09
$0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31?
14 shares @ 74.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.62
$2.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 30?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$12.35
$1.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 31?
13 shares @ 79.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.29
$2.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 30?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$12.15
$1.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 30?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$11.96
$1.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 30?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$11.89
$1.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 38°C on July 31?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.63
$1.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 31?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.51
$1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 31?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.24
$0.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?$3.77Jul 30, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 30?$9.58Jul 30, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 1?$4.00Jul 30, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 1?$6.40Jul 30, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 30?$2.97Jul 30, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 30?$9.90Jul 30, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 31?$10.40Jul 30, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 1?$10.40Jul 30, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 30?$2.84Jul 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 30?$9.48Jul 30, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 30?$2.84Jul 30, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 30?$9.48Jul 30, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 1?$5.48Jul 30, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 31?$10.40Jul 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 1?$2.45Jul 30, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 30?$2.97Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 30?$9.90Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 31?$10.40Jul 30, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 31?$10.40Jul 30, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 1?$10.40Jul 30, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 04:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.