Complicated-Actress
0xfd9448846305e5cf49deab67af7167046004b271
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$147.02
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$306.20
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
165 shares @ 30.3¢·now 30.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.74
$0.74
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
86 shares @ 58.4¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$48.38
$-1.62
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
49 shares @ 71.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.61
$-6.23
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 34.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.28
$-5.64
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
1857 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
1163 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-249.20
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1024 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-220.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in his first 100 days?
665 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-199.50
- YES
500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?
635 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-126.85
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?
632 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$22.12May 30, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$21.52May 30, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$13.12May 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$50.83May 21, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$51.74May 21, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$80.46May 20, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$101.73May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$25.20May 17, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$19.06May 8, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$50.84May 8, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$20.00May 6, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?$20.00May 6, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$5.30Feb 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$45.20Feb 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?$3.75Feb 11, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$52.50Feb 11, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$53.00Feb 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?$3.90Feb 11, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$5.50Feb 10, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?$5.50Feb 10, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $31.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".