Agitated-Caliber
0xfd94b0522b01e4b5b301037b53170f6b33e4e095
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.05
Total PnL
$-84.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$2.05
$1.07
- YES
Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
722 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
350 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
305 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
82 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
61 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?$2.00Feb 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.00Feb 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$5.00Jan 16, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$6.00Dec 29, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$2.00Dec 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 30, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 29, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$50.00Sep 22, 16:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $6.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".