Complicated-Cephalopod
0xfd9b8a4f37ff35eeca6eb6b0d759f2c17f417c40
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$69.11
Total PnL
$-48.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?
19 shares @ 10.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 5, 2026$18.95
$17.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 5?
38 shares @ 3.8¢·now 24.8¢·exp May 5, 2026$9.34
$7.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on May 5?
41 shares @ 3.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$8.37
$7.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 5?
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 28.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$7.10
$5.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 5?
45 shares @ 2.4¢·now 5.7¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.59
$1.51
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 6?
39 shares @ 9.2¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.33
$-1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 5?
18 shares @ 6.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.91
$0.72
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 6?
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.77
$-1.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.47
$0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?
27 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp May 5, 2026$1.41
$0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 4?$5.452h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?$2.2911h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on May 4?$1.0315h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?$0.6915h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 4?$0.7015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 45°F or below on May 5?$1.0715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on May 5?$1.4215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 4?$0.5115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 5?$1.1215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 5?$1.2815h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 4?$1.3615h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 5?$1.1115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 6?$1.6715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 5?$1.3315h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 6?$1.6715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 6?$2.0415h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 4?$1.4715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 6?$1.8015h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 4?$1.0417h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?$1.0417h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17h ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".