Good-Natured-Throne
0xfd9bf631ab106c4a4ec9a51073d9e3ef2802934e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$61.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
31160 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-31.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14?
6250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
2665 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
1250 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
1220 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
1011 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-62.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
834 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
826 shares @ 24.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?
607 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
473 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-148.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$80.00Mar 20, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$122.58Feb 18, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$227.24Feb 16, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?$46.46Feb 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the USA Stripes team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?$400.00Feb 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)$50.00Feb 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$5.00Feb 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$6.00Feb 14, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Feb 14, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$218.82Feb 14, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$100.00Feb 14, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$326.63Feb 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$100.00Feb 14, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$65.00Feb 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$248.26Feb 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$317.57Feb 14, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$426.00Feb 14, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$847.77Feb 14, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$86.97Feb 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$706.92Feb 14, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $252.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 00:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".