Defensive-Crayon
0xfda8b0ce3b86d18e77efdda47ac0f58a37a95138
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$28.16
Total PnL
$10.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
8 shares @ 48.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.32
$4.32
- NO
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
7 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$7.21
$4.83
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
7 shares @ 45.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$7.16
$3.89
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$5.47
$1.04
- NO
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
5 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$4.00Jul 20, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.27Jul 17, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$3.60Jun 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? $4.43Jun 28, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 6?$4.68Jun 12, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$49.40Jun 12, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.38Jun 4, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 6?$3.37Jun 2, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?$12.80May 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$29.64May 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?$3.20May 6, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$36.41Feb 7, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?$36.03Jan 30, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$3.31Jan 21, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$12.92Jan 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$12.89Jan 18, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?$1.69Jan 8, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$1.49Jan 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?$1.53Jan 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP flip ETH in 2024?$1.62Jan 2, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 08:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.