Forsaken-Lycra
0xfdad8763ccc17ef5e0919f1c9deafb4de5b86162
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-220.66
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
9662 shares @ 74.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.1K
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
7046 shares @ 37.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.6K
$-47.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
6501 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$552.59
$-617.61
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
347 shares @ 79.4¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$107.51
$-167.73
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
6603 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-29.75
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?
3200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
1255 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-28.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
516 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-19.98
- YES
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?
313 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.73Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.66Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.61Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.62Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.71Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.70Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$14.33Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.64Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.6KJul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.67Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.68Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $558.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.