Wary-Partridge
0xfdbc49a5c4cba63cf226adb1d3247204f8e254f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$9.49
Total PnL
$-122.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?
9 shares @ 52.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$9.49
$4.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
393 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in June?
216 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?
167 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?
152 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
122 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say “Transgender” this week? (November 10 - 16)$2.65Nov 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?$5.00Nov 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?$10.00Nov 14, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12PM ET$2.00Nov 14, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Hottest" during executive order signing events on November 13?$0.00Nov 14, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$0.00Nov 14, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Hottest" during executive order signing events on November 13?$1.47Nov 14, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$7.69Nov 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?$3.00Nov 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 15?$1.00Nov 14, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?$3.00Nov 14, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during executive order signing events on November 13?$1.00Nov 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Hottest" during executive order signing events on November 13?$1.00Nov 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald or Melania Trump say "Job" 5+ times during executive order signing events on November 13?$2.00Nov 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?$1.00Nov 13, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".