Frilly-Grid
0xfdbebc6ca9479c07c23699bdaad343e4a1d037ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.03
Total PnL
$-38.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 7?
1100 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 10?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?
104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$120.12Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$120.01Jun 2, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$120.12May 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$120.01May 26, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$120.12May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$120.01May 24, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$120.24May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$120.01May 19, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$120.12May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?$120.01May 10, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$120.12May 8, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?$120.01May 7, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$118.12May 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$118.01May 4, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$118.12May 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$118.00Apr 29, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$118.22Apr 29, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$118.00Apr 25, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$118.11Apr 25, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$118.00Apr 20, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $96.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".