0xfdc0b152ec1f8febeb3e2be5ab1d861323e43e35
0xfdc0b152ec1f8febeb3e2be5ab1d861323e43e35
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.85
Total PnL
$0.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021?
3 shares @ 29.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2022$3.44
$2.44
- YES
Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022?
3 shares @ 37.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2022$2.67
$1.67
- NO
Will Terra (LUNA) reach $100 again by January 10?
2 shares @ 56.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2022$1.77
$0.77
- YES
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9?
1 shares @ 86.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2022$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 40M global streams for the week ending on January 6?
1 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2022$1.11
$0.11
- NO
(OLD MARKET - See new market) Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
2 shares @ 59.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December?
1 shares @ 68.4¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jan 7, 2022$0.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will 'The Witcher: Season 2' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending January 9?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11?
3 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2022$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022?
2 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2022$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.