Mad-Alpha
0xfdc2be7140c15d9be1dcb5cbfa00b1515135dcb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$21.10
Total PnL
$-0.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$7.95
$5.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.84
$0.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 18?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?
35 shares @ 17.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.08
$-3.92
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?
14 shares @ 13.8¢·now 7.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.11
$-0.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16?
15 shares @ 13.3¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.46
$-1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 14?
242 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.12
$-1.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 14?$2.12Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?$2.10Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14?$2.08Jun 13, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13?$4.55Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14?$2.11Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on June 13?$3.28Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 13?$2.07Jun 13, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12?$0.00Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12?$3.08Jun 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?$2.13Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?$2.14Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13?$2.10Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 16?$2.14Jun 12, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 13?$2.10Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$2.02Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$2.37Jun 12, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12?$5.12Jun 12, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12?$2.04Jun 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$2.04Jun 12, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?$4.86Jun 12, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.