Both-Probability
0xfdc77852f6c152037beab81f041cce3fff90ece1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$26.99
Total PnL
$-3.26
Realised
$-0.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Evo Morales arrested by June 30?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.32
$4.32
- YES
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 25.5¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.60
$-8.70
- YES
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?
19 shares @ 25.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.05
$1.32
- YES
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.02
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?$0.08May 28, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$7.25May 28, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?$1.61May 28, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$7.25May 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?$1.01May 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?$1.02May 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?$4.87May 27, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$0.93May 26, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?$7.27May 25, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?$7.03May 25, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by May 31, 2026?$0.30May 25, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 25, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$1.00May 25, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by June 30?$10.31May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$5.19May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$97.06May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31?$83.99May 20, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $14.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".