Strict-Samurai
0xfdc9c2063b6c393c6a6badc74925e945f1a2c89b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$61.62
Total PnL
$-39.76
Realised
$0.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Texas A&M make the College Football Playoff?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$20.00
$0.02
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
14 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.11
$1.05
- NO
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?
11 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$11.00
$3.44
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.51
$0.55
- NO
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.00
$0.42
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 7?
1259 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on December 7?
144 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Tesla deliver 500000 or more vehicles in Q4 2025
128 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.41
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$11.06Feb 14, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$6.96Jan 27, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$30.00Jan 26, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$0.94Jan 25, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$2.36Jan 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?$4.26Jan 25, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$5.58Dec 30, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$14.54Dec 30, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$14.40Dec 30, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.53Dec 8, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.05Dec 8, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.04Dec 8, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.47Dec 8, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.01Dec 8, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.05Dec 8, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.02Dec 8, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on December 7?$0.63Dec 8, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.44Dec 7, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.28Dec 7, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on December 7?$0.05Dec 7, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 00:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".