Wallet digest

active

Activity score

48/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-22.7K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
14966 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-7.5K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2554 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2544 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2542 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.3K

Recent activity

REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.28Jan 16, 02:43 UTC
TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.01Jan 16, 02:42 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 03:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$39.50Dec 10, 10:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$2.5KDec 10, 10:33 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2.6KDec 10, 10:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:31 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.9KDec 10, 10:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.4KDec 10, 10:16 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.4KDec 10, 10:16 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:01 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:01 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Dec 10, 10:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.3KDec 10, 09:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$1.2KDec 10, 09:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$32.00Dec 10, 09:48 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity34 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk64 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 21
Avg trade size: $955.76
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 10, 08:17 UTC
Last active: Jan 16, 02:43 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:48:33 UTC·src:Polymarket Data