Amusing-Rear
0xfdd532bd387fe5f691b364a1e1e7a9b0cc2ca31e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-148.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 19?
94 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 16?
76 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 10?
72 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
68 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-65.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on January 3?
64 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.57
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 9?
60 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?
60 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 16?
60 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 14?
60 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 10?
58 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 27?$0.00Apr 28, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 30?$0.00Apr 12, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?$0.00Mar 31, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 30?$1.83Mar 31, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 24?$0.00Mar 30, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 27?$1.32Mar 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 16?$1.98Mar 15, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$0.09Mar 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$65.59Mar 15, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?$68.22Mar 15, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?$66.51Mar 14, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 13?$65.15Mar 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 13?$63.00Mar 13, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 13?$2.43Mar 13, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 11?$70.45Mar 13, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 11?$68.90Mar 12, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 10?$57.31Mar 11, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 10?$54.44Mar 11, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,950 on March 10?$1.72Mar 10, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $28.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.